UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

women St Thomas Aquinas 2
  
St Thomas Aquinas     
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 76.4638

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 222 H American International Northeast 10 ( 2-14, 78.2) 20-21 228 H Chestnut Hill CACC ( 3- 7, 76.6) 18-12 306 A Caldwell CACC ( 2-12, 77.2) 12-10 311 A Virginia State D2 Independen ( 4- 6, 78.7) 7-21 313 A Chowan Carolinas ( 0-10, 68.7) 21-14 320 A Felician CACC ( 3-10, 76.5) 10-18 322 H Daemen East Coast ( 5-11, 85.4) 3-24 326 H Bridgeport CACC ( 7- 9, 82.5) 3-19 329 H Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 7- 8, 89.9) 4-18 403 H Wilmington (DE) CACC (13- 6, 88.8) 9-20 405 A D'Youville East Coast ( 5- 9, 85.7) 5-17 409 A Mercy East Coast (10- 7, 92.6) 2-20 414 A Dominican (NY) CACC (18- 1, 95.8) 2-22 417 A Holy Family CACC ( 6-10, 83.0) 2-20 419 A Post CACC ( 0-10, 72.5) 12-10 422 H Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 ( 9- 8, 90.4) 1-25 424 A District of Columbia East Coast ( 0-10, 72.8) 17-14 426 H Molloy East Coast (10- 8, 90.3) 7-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H American International 20-21      -1    -1           0.22
   228 H Chestnut Hill          18-12       6     0    ++     4.62
   306 A Caldwell               12-10       2    -1    +      3.27
   311 A Virginia State          7-21     -14    -3    -     -2.22
   313 A Chowan                 21-14       7     7           0.00
   320 A Felician               10-18      -8    -1    --    -4.41
   322 H Daemen                  3-24     -21    -8           0.00
   326 H Bridgeport              3-19     -16    -6           0.00
   329 H Roberts Wesleyan        4-18     -14   -13           0.00
   403 H Wilmington (DE)         9-20     -11   -12           0.00
   405 A D'Youville              5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   409 A Mercy                   2-20     -18   -17           0.00
   414 A Dominican (NY)          2-22     -20   -20           0.00
   417 A Holy Family             2-20     -18    -7           0.00
   419 A Post                   12-10       2     3          -1.43
   422 H Southern Connecticut    1-25     -24   -13           0.00
   424 A District of Columbia   17-14       3     3          -0.16
   426 H Molloy                  7-21     -14   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Felician               10-18      -8    -1    --    -4.41
   311 A Virginia State          7-21     -14    -3    -     -2.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Chestnut Hill          18-12       6     0    ++     4.62
   306 A Caldwell               12-10       2    -1    +      3.27

St Thomas Aquinas Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi Adelphi   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   Alabama-Huntsville
American International American International American International  
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashland
Assumption Assumption Assumption   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Barton Barton insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Barton
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley Bentley   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Bridgeport Bridgeport  
Caldwell St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  
Catawba Catawba   Catawba
Charleston Charleston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charleston
Chestnut Hill St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  
Chowan St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  
Coker St Thomas Aquinas tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Thomas Aquinas
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Converse Converse tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Converse
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo   CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville D'Youville D'Youville  
Daemen Daemen Daemen  
Davenport Davenport   Davenport
Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Davis & Elkins
District of Columbia St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)  
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA)   Emmanuel (GA)
Emory & Henry St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Felician Felician Felician  
Findlay Findlay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Findlay
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern Florida Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Fort Lewis   Fort Lewis
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Frostburg State Frostburg State insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Frostburg State
Gannon Gannon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gannon
Georgian Court Georgian Court Georgian Court   7- 4 vs 3- 8
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State   Grand Valley State
Holy Family Holy Family Holy Family  
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA)   Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Erie
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Lee   Lee
Lees-McRae Lees-McRae   Lees-McRae
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis   Lewis
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial   Lincoln Memorial
Lock Haven Lock Haven insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Malone   Malone
Mars Hill St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Maryville Maryville   Maryville
McKendree McKendree   McKendree
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Millersville Millersville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Molloy Molloy  
Montevallo Montevallo   Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven New Haven   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville North Greenville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Greenville
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Pace Pace Pace   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan  
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Seton Hill Seton Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd   Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg Shippensburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Shorter Shorter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shorter
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Southern Wesleyan St Thomas Aquinas tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Thomas Aquinas
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm   5- 0 vs 0- 5
St Leo St Leo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels St Michaels   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Tampa Tampa insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   8- 2 vs 3- 7
Thomas More Thomas More   Thomas More
Tiffin Tiffin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tiffin
Tusculum Tusculum   Tusculum
Ursuline St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Virginia State Virginia State  
Walsh Walsh insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walsh
West Chester West Chester West Chester   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Virginia Wesleyan St Thomas Aquinas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Thomas Aquinas
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling   Wheeling
William Jewell William Jewell   William Jewell
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)  
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris   Young Harris

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H American Inter  ( 2-14, 78.2)    20-21      -21.67       9.52      -0.55         0.90           -19.95
   0 H Chestnut Hill   ( 3- 7, 76.6)    18-12      -23.26       7.92      -0.55         0.90             6.61
   0 A Caldwell        ( 2-12, 77.2)    12-10      -22.72       8.46       0.55         0.90             8.09
   0 A Virginia State  ( 4- 6, 78.7)     7-21      -21.21       9.97       0.55         0.90           -18.55
   0 A Chowan          ( 0-10, 68.7)    21-14      -31.18       1.00       0.55         0.90             1.39
   0 A Felician        ( 3-10, 76.5)    10-18      -23.39       7.79       0.55         0.90           -20.51
   0 H Daemen          ( 5-11, 85.4)     3-24      -14.51      16.67      -0.55         0.90           -13.53
   0 H Bridgeport      ( 7- 9, 82.5)     3-19      -17.37      13.81      -0.55         0.90           -16.10
   0 H Roberts Wesley  ( 7- 8, 89.9)     4-18      -10.02      21.16      -0.55         0.90            -9.49
   0 H Wilmington (DE  (13- 6, 88.8)     9-20      -11.13      20.05      -0.55         0.90           -10.49
   0 A D'Youville      ( 5- 9, 85.7)     5-17      -14.18      17.00       0.55         0.90           -12.23
   0 A Mercy           (10- 7, 92.6)     2-20       -7.27      23.91       0.55         0.90            -6.03
   0 A Dominican (NY)  (18- 1, 95.8)     2-22       -4.05      27.13       0.55         0.90            -3.14
   0 A Holy Family     ( 6-10, 83.0)     2-20      -16.88      14.30       0.55         0.90           -14.66
   0 A Post            ( 0-10, 72.5)    12-10      -27.42       3.76       0.55         0.90             3.87
   0 H Southern Conne  ( 9- 8, 90.4)     1-25       -9.54      21.64      -0.55         0.90            -9.06
   0 A District of Co  ( 0-10, 72.8)    17-14      -27.15       4.03       0.55         0.90             4.12
   0 H Molloy          (10- 8, 90.3)     7-21       -9.61      21.57      -0.55         0.90            -9.12
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -138.77

winning pts = 24.0878 losing points = -162.8589

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------